THEN ON MON… THE FORECAST BECOMES QUITE COMPLEX AND VERY
CHALLENGING OVER THE ERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY. THE SHORT WAVE
DIVING THROUGH THE MIDWEST ON SUN PROCEEDS TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST ON
MON AND BEGINS TO INDUCE A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE COASTAL CAROLINAS
BEFORE SHOWING SIGNS OF INTENSIFYING AND LIFTING NORTHWARD. THIS
IS DUE TO A SLIGHT NEG TILT ALOFT OF THIS FEATURE AND THE NEXT
POLAR/ARCTIC UPPER TROUGH PLUNGING INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/GREAT
LAKES. DO THE TWO SYSTEMS REMAIN COMPLETELY SEPARATE OR IS THERE
ENOUGH PARTIAL PHASING OCCURRING. EITHER WAY… ONE OF THE RARE
COASTAL STORMS THIS WINTER COULD VERY WELL IMPACT PARTS OF THE
MID-ATL REGION MON AFTN/EVENING INTO TUES MORNING.
THE 00Z ECMWF AND GFS APPEAR TO BE CONVERGING ON COASTAL
CYCLOGENESIS FROM THE CAROLINA COAST TO THE DELMARVA COAST… AS
THE UPPER DYNAMICS CROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND MESHES WITH THE
WOUND UP SURFACE SYSTEM ALONG THE COAST. THE RESULTANT SHOULD BE A
BURST AND FLOURISH IN PRECIPITATION AND GIVEN THE ANOMALOUS COLD
AIR MASS ENTRENCHED OVER THE EAST… IT APPEARS A RATHER
SIGNIFICANT LATE WINTER/EARLY SPRING HEAVY WET SNOW EVENT. NOW
EVEN THOUGH THE TWO LEADING GLOBAL MODELS HAVE COME TO SOME SORT
OF CONSENSUS… THIS REMAINS A HIGHLY FLUID FORECAST GIVEN
MULTIPLE STREAMS IN PLAY. THUS WPC QPF AND WINTER WEATHER
FORECASTERS WENT EXTREMELY CONSERVATIVE TO INTRODUCE INITIAL HEAVY
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BUT NOT AS EXTREME AS SOME OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS.
AT THIS MOMENT THROUGH 12Z TUES… WPC WENT WITH THE GREATEST
THREAT FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS FROM SWRN VA TO ERN PA AND ON
THE ERN EXTENT TO INCLUDE THE CORRIDOR OF DC UP TO BWI AND JUST
SHY OF PHL… THOUGH THE REST OF THE NORTHEAST WILL GET MORE
INVOLVED ON TUES. THUS PTYPE ISSUES COULD BE A MAJOR ISSUE… WITH
QUESTIONS ON ATLANTIC ONSHORE FLOW AND SURFACE LOW TRACK. THE
BOTTOM LINE IS THE GUIDANCE IS COMING TO A CONSENSUS ON A MAJOR
STORM SYSTEM BUT IN QUESTION ARE THE CRITICAL DETAILS AND THIS MAY
BE AN ONGOING PROBLEM LEADING RIGHT UP TO THE EVENT.
Attorney General Lynch Looks Into Prosecuting ‘Climate Change Deniers’
In news that should shock and anger Americans, U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch told the Senate Judiciary Committee on Wednesday that not only has she discussed internally the possibility of pursuing civil actions against so-called “climate change deniers,” but she has “referred it to the FBI to consider whether or not it meets the criteria for which we could take action.”
We ARE a police state and Obama’s not even bothering with a glove.
We are doomed. The Cultists in charge of The State shall not be questioned, and Heretics MUST be punished
Exxon Mobil Investigated for Possible Climate Change Lies by New York Attorney General
By JUSTIN GILLIS and CLIFFORD KRAUSS NOV. 5, 2015
The New York attorney general has begun an investigation of Exxon Mobil to determine whether the company lied to the public about the risks of climate change or to investors about how such risks might hurt the oil business.
According to people with knowledge of the investigation, Attorney General Eric T. Schneiderman issued a subpoena Wednesday evening to Exxon Mobil, demanding extensive financial records, emails and other documents.
The investigation focuses on whether statements the company made to investors about climate risks as recently as this year were consistent with the company’s own long-running scientific research.
Every night, France’s chief weatherman has told the nation how much wind, sun or rain they can expect the following day.
Now Philippe Verdier, a household name for his nightly forecasts on France 2, has been taken off air after a more controversial announcement – criticising the world’s top climate change experts.
Mr Verdier claims in the book Climat Investigation (Climate Investigation) that leading climatologists and political leaders have “taken the world hostage” with misleading data.
In a promotional video, Mr Verdier said: “Every night I address five million French people to talk to you about the wind, the clouds and the sun. And yet there is something important, very important that I haven’t been able to tell you, because it’s neither the time nor the place to do so.”
He added: “We are hostage to a planetary scandal over climate change – a war machine whose aim is to keep us in fear.”
His outspoken views led France 2 to take him off the air starting this Monday. “I received a letter telling me not to come. I’m in shock,” he told RTL radio. “This is a direct extension of what I say in my book, namely that any contrary views must be eliminated.”
EPA chief says climate change deniers not ‘normal’
The head of the Environmental Protection Agency appeared to hurl barbs at Congress on Tuesday, referring to an unnamed group of climate change “deniers” who aren’t “normal” and who won’t “carry the day” in a democracy.
EPA Administrator Gina McCarthy made the comments while addressing a climate change summit at the White House Tuesday to frame the effects of global warming on public health.
…”I’ve batted my head against the wall too many times” trying to convince climate change deniers that global warming is occurring, she said. “You can have fun doing that if you want,” but “if the science hasn’t already changed their mind then it never will.”
She said she is convinced that the climate deniers will not win in the campaign to address global warming. “In a normal democracy, it is not them that carries the day,” McCarthy said. “It is normal human beings that haven’t put their stake into politics above science.”
“It’s normal human beings that want us to do the right thing,” she added. “And we will.“
From NOAA Earth Observatory: Since measurements began in 1895, Alaska’s Hubbard Glacier has been thickening and steadily advancing into Disenchantment Bay. The advance runs counter to so many thinning and retreating glaciers nearby in Alaska and around the world.
…According to Leigh Stearns, a glaciologist at the University of Kansas, Hubbard’s advance is due to its large accumulation area; the glacier’s catchment basin extends far into the Saint Elias Mountains. Snow that falls in the basin either melts or flows down to the terminus, causing Hubbard to steadily grow. In addition, Hubbard is building up a large moraine, shoveling sediment, rock, and other debris from Earth’s surface onto the glacier’s leading edge. The moraine at the front gives the glacier stability and allows it to advance more easily because the ice does not need to be as thick to stay grounded. (If it is thin, it can start floating and will not necessarily advance.)
But of course, Gentle Readers, savvy types that you are you already knew all about this.
Global Warmening. It makes people hot. And when people get hot, they take off their clothes.
And when you take off your clothes you know what happens next
Malaysian tribal leaders blame a group of Western tourists, including two Canadians, for triggering a deadly earthquake by taking naked photos of themselves on a sacred mountain, a local official told NBC News on Monday.
Tribal and political leaders across the state of Sabah have called for the arrest of the 10 tourists after they allegedly stripped on Mount Kinabalu last month, said Masidi Manjun, the state’s tourism, culture and environment minister.
Canada’s Department of Foreign Affairs said it was aware of reports that the two Canadians had been barred from leaving the country. The department said it was working with local officials but was unable to confirm whether there had been any arrests.
On Friday, one week after the group allegedly took the naked photos and posted them on social media, a 6.0-magnitude earthquake struck 5 miles south of the 13,500-foot summit on Malaysian Borneo. Sixteen people were killed, and more than 100 climbers were trapped for a time on the mountain.
The Kadazan-Dusun tribe believe that the “disrespectful” actions of the tourists were responsible for triggering the earthquake, Manjun said.
The logic of my argument, like the Science, is clear.
Via our dear friend Tim, who shows us that once again that “Utopia” is but Latin for “nightmare”
That’s one explanation: that no sane person shouts, ‘Stuff your pension!’ and clears off to a field near Inverness. Another is that designs for living always end in tears, or worse. From the Russian Revolution to Jonestown, programmes for human happiness come a cropper. It’s best to muddle along as we are, not because human beings are morons or suckers, or traitors to the cause, but because life is meant to be messy, muddled, contrary, comic. In any event, when the balloon goes up, I have my plan ready. I shall hide in the stockroom at Morrison’s (Strood branch), spending what’s left of eternity scoffing their individual fruit pies.
Read the whole delusional, pathetic, and tragi-comic tale. Keep it in mind every time some Government Expert or PhD-wielding Academic insists that we all must follow their path to Enlightenment.
We only got about 8″, about half of what we were *guaranteed* to get just a few hours prior. Now don’t get me wrong: if they’re going to blow a forecast this is definitely the direction I want them to screw it up in.
But it does make me hope that someone somewhere will stop just for half a second a think that, just perhaps, if all the billions of dollars of fancy equipment and thousands of PhDs focused on the weather can’t get it right for TOMORROW then maybe they sorta kinda maybe shouldn’t be so 100% sure that they can declare with Absolute Consensus what’s going to happen over the next 100 years.
I am personally thankful for this mistake, however, as it allowed me to have this for breakfast
before I went out and cleaned off the cars, driveway, and sidewalk.
Certainly fewer people on the bus, that’s for sure. And from our friends at the NWS
THE LATEST MODELS THOUGH ARE INSISTING THAT THIS STORM WILL EVOLVE
INTO A HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM/BLIZZARD MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC…EASTERN NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS INCLUDES MAJOR METROPOLITAN
AREAS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR FROM PHILADELPHIA THROUGH NEW YORK
CITY AND UP TO BOSTON. THE MODELS DEPICT A POWERFUL DEFORMATION
ZONE DEVELOPING AND SPREADING INLAND IN RESPONSE TO RAPIDLY
DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND ARE EXPECTED TO SEE VERY INTENSE
SNOWFALL AS VERY STRONG FRONTOGENETIC FORCING…ATLANTIC MOISTURE
TRANSPORT AND UPPER JET DYNAMICS COMBINE FOR INTENSE SNOWFALL
RATES. ASIDE FROM THE FAVORABLE SYNOPTIC SCALE SET-UP…THE MOIST
ONSHORE EAST NORTHEAST FLOW FAVORS OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT IN THE
TERRAIN OF WESTERN CT TO THE HILLS WEST OF BOSTON.
MESOSCALE BANDING FEATURES ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE LARGER AREA OF
HEAVY SNOW TO RESULT IN LOCAL ENHANCEMENTS. THERE IS A LIKELIHOOD
FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO IMPACT MANY AREAS FROM NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY NORTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS GENERALLY FROM NEW YORK CITY ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN NEW ENGLAND. SEVERAL MODELS AND ENSEMBLE RUNS INDICATE
EASTERN MA AND RI AS HAVING THE HIGHEST TOTALS. THE
MODELS/ENSEMBLE MEAN HAVE TRENDED A FEW INCHES LOWER ON THE
NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE SNOW AREA ACROSS NORTHERN NY/NORTHERN NEW
Issued by The National Weather Service
Sun, Jan 25, 10:10 am EST
… BLIZZARD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING…
* LOCATIONS… THE NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF MONMOUTH AND OCEAN.
* HAZARD TYPES… HEAVY SNOW WITH WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
* ACCUMULATIONS… SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 10 TO 18 INCHES.
* TIMING… SNOW BEGINS NEAR DAWN MONDAY AND SHOULD SLOW THE MORNING COMMUTE. THERE MAY BE SOME MELTING OF THE SNOW ON PAVEMENT MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT PORTION OF THIS STORM BEGINS SOMETIME MONDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING THEN EVENTUALLY WINDS DOWN MIDDAY TUESDAY.
* IMPACTS… COULD BE A MAJOR IMPACT ON COMMERCE AND TRAVEL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
* WINDS… NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
* TEMPERATURES… MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
* VISIBILITIES… ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
Good thing I hit the liquor store yesterday to avoid the rush!
Update: Woo-Hoo! Now we’s got us a WARNING!!
… BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY…
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE BLIZZARD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
* HAZARD TYPES… HEAVY SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS… 18 TO 28 INCHES, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.
* TIMING… SNOW BEGINS AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY WITH SOME IMPACT TO THE MORNING COMMUTE, THEN IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE TAPERING OFF DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE BRUNT OF THE STORM LOOKS TO OCCUR MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, WHERE SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR ARE ANTICIPATED.
* IMPACTS… EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND STRONG WINDS, RESULTING IN WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. SECONDARY AND TERTIARY ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE. STRONG WINDS MAY DOWN POWER LINES AND TREE LIMBS.
* WINDS… NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH MONDAY, THEN BECOMING NORTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WITH THE HIGHEST GUSTS CLOSER TO THE COAST.
* TEMPERATURES… AROUND 30 DEGREES MONDAY, THEN DROPPING INTO THE MID 20S MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.
I assume this means AlGore is scheduled to be in NYC on Monday…