The Science Ain’t Settled

Kudos to these real scientists

Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn’t work.

…“We are discontinuing our early December quantitative hurricane forecast for the next year … Our early December Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts of the last 20 years have not shown real-time forecast skill even though the hindcast studies on which they were based had considerable skill.”

11 Responses to “The Science Ain’t Settled”

1. JeffS says:

   December 13, 2011 at 9:49 am

   That’ll drive the bureaucrats in the Federal goobermint berserk. A lot of them “depended” on that particular forecast, as it’s used to justify annual preparedness activities, i.e., get more money into their budgets. A lot of senior bureaucrats won’t say “Boo!” unless you can attach a number to a request. Silly, but true.

   I think I’m going to have fun with this one……

2. major dad says:

   December 13, 2011 at 10:40 am

   Spot on Jeff, those senior types won’t do anything without some sort of metric or study regardless of how worthless it maybe. FEMA’s bureaucrats heads are exploding about now.

3. JeffS says:

   December 13, 2011 at 11:04 am

   The sad truth is, Major Dad, that some bottle washer will step in to fill this role. Especially when some desperate FEMA bubblehead waves a lucrative contract in the air.

4. Skyler says:

   December 13, 2011 at 11:20 am

   Wow.

5. Syd B. says:

   December 13, 2011 at 11:32 am

   …and today, Prime Minister Harper of Canada announced that he is pulling out of Koyto, the first country to do so. That news has the Liberals chewing the bark off the trees whilst hugging them. That couldn’t be good for them, could it?

6. JeffS says:

   December 13, 2011 at 2:14 pm

   Full statement here.

7. JeffS says:

   December 13, 2011 at 2:15 pm

   BTW, I had to really dig to find it; unless you know where these guys post their stuff at CSU, it’s not in the system. I ended up Binging their names.

8. tree hugging sister says:

   December 13, 2011 at 4:35 pm

   I can’t wait to hear from my little ray of doom…

9. JeffS says:

   December 13, 2011 at 5:02 pm

   I’ll bet he’s in full ROFLMA mode right now.

10. Gary thompson says:

    December 13, 2011 at 11:58 pm

    It’s all starting to fall apart for them. CO2 makes up about 0.039% of our atmosphere so to say that this controls our climate is silly. More information here if you care to look.

    http://cosmoscon.com/2011/12/11/solutions-in-search-of-a-problem/

11. Laura says:

    December 15, 2011 at 7:58 am

    We in the coastal South LOVE it when they predict a horrendous hurricane season. We love drama and stocking up on toilet paper.