Oh Crap Already
Like they need this
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
190 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 6.2N 130.7E TO 9.8N 121.5E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 111530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 6.8N 129.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 19 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N
136.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 129.9E, APPROXIMATELY 473 NM EAST OF
ZAMBOANGA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
A CONSOLIDATING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) ASSOCIATED WITH
FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. AN 111231Z METOP-A 89 GHZ IMAGE INDICATES A
PARTIALLY EXPOSED LLCC WITH THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION SHEARED
OFF TO THE WESTERN QUADRANTS OF THE SYSTEM. AN 111231Z ASCAT
IMAGE SHOWS AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH 20 KNOT WINDS WITH SOME
ISOLATED 25 KNOT WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. UPPER-LEVEL
ANALYSIS INDICATES LOW (5 TO 10 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD
RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18
TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003
MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
121700Z.//
because naturally it’s heading…
Yep, there.
Big Blows | Mr. Bingley | 
November 11, 2013 9:37 pm
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Recently, I’ve seen the history of Hurricanes and Typhoons listed on the internet.What is baffling is that the Northern Hemisphere has at least ten times the number of typhoons and hurricanes as the Southern.
It does seem odd but remember that the northern and southern hemisphere s are quite different physically and due to variations in the earth’s orbit they also receive differing amounts of solar radiation I would suspect that a large measure of the difference in cyclone activity is from those factors. Somehow. 🙂
Mr. B., the greater sea to land ratio may have something to do with it also.
Indeed, aelf.
Seems to be just a nasty rain-enhanced tropical depression so far. (Not good news but…).
Oh – and Australia got pretty well zapped a couple years ago, so they DO get smashed down there, too.
Odd though, I have never heard anything about cyclones/typhoons/hurricanes in Southern Africa. Do they rarely/never hit or are they never reported?