The Day Before Thanksgiving

What could possibly go wrong?

GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TRAVEL DISRUPTION DURING THE PEAK PRE THANKSGIVING TRAVEL PERIOD ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY…THE FORECAST FOR THIS STORM IS QUITE CRUCIAL. A SIGNIFICANT CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN RIDE UP ALONG THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY. A BAND OF SIGNIFICANT QPF IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE ENTRANCE REGION OF A 200 KT 250 MB JET OVER THE NORTHEAST. NOT UNEXPECTEDLY…THERE ARE QUITE A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS WITH VERY DIFFERENT IMPACTS. RIGHT NOW…THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES INVOLVE WHETHER THE STORM BECOMES RATHER INTENSE ON A SLIGHTLY MORE WESTERLY TRACK VERSUS A SLIGHTLY WEAKER MORE EASTERLY TRACK…THOUGH THERE MAY ME A TREND TOWARD SOME MIDDLE GROUND BETWEEN THESE FORECASTS. IN EITHER EVENT…SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE I95 CORRIDOR..WHETHER OR NOT IT IS ALONG THE CORRIDOR OR SLIGHTLY WESTWARD. THE DETERMINISTIC FORECAST MADE SHOWED THE HEAVIEST SNOW JUST INLAND WITH SOME ACCUMULATIONS IN THE BIG CITIES REFLECTING A COMBINATION OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INITIALLY DEVELOP ALONG THE APPALACHIANS ON
TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT…POSSIBLY AS FAR SOUTH AS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA ACROSS NW SOUTH CAROLINA/WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN VIRGINIA AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA.
SNOW AND COASTAL RAIN SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE REST OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON WEDNESDAY/DAY 3…THE
PEAK OF THE PRE HOLIDAY TRAVEL AND THEN END ACROSS EASTERN MAINE
ON THANKSGIVING MORNING.

HOWEVER…THIS SCENARIO IS MERELY ONE OF MANY THAT TYPIFY
POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENTS ALONG THE EAST COAST.

All this snow is PROOF of Gerbil Warmening.

or something.

One Response to “The Day Before Thanksgiving”

  1. aelfheld says:

    When conditions favour (in their eyes) the theories of the warm-mongers it’s climate.

    When conditions disfavour the theories of the warm-mongers it’s weather.

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