Chris Deflates
And we’re not shedding any tears:
CHRIS IS BECOMING DISORGANIZED IN A HURRY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE
THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BECOME DETACHED FROM THE THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY DUE TO NORTHWESTERLY SHEAR…AND THIS WAS CONFIRMED BY
FIXES FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE
HAS RISEN TO 1010 MB AND THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WIND REPORTED SO
FAR IS ONLY 38 KNOTS. HOWEVER…ASSUMING THAT THE ENTIRE
CIRCULATION HAS NOT BEEN SAMPLED…THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
ADJUSTED TO 40 KNOTS… AND THIS IS VERY GENEROUS. I WAS TEMPTED
TO FORECAST WEAKENING AND EVEN DISSIPATION OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS…BUT THE BEST OPTION AT THIS TIME IS TO KEEP THE CYCLONE ON A
STEADY STATE CONSIDERING THAT THE SHEAR COULD DECREASE…AS
SUGGESTED BY THE SHIPS MODEL.
Lies! All lies, I tell you! I am as virile as ever!
See “left nut” post above.
And Weather Underground had a cheerful little note on Chris yesterday: