The relatively quiet hurricane season we’ve been enjoying is not going to last. A very active period will start, as soon as the atmosphere destabilizes a bit more. If one believes the long-range 2-week outlook from the GFS model, the current quiet period should last another 4-12 days. Around August 21, I expect it will appear that a switch has been thrown, and the Atlantic will be very active indeed. Expect our first hurricane in the Atlantic by August 26, and a very active September. However, I do expect we will get many recurving storms that will miss land, and that this hurricane season will be similar to the ones we experienced in 1995-2003.

He could be way wrong. And the ‘1995-2003’ does nothing to make me feel better. I’ll post why shortly.

4 Responses to “Gah”

  1. (Hey ya, Gala!!) Can’t ~ I LIVE here. {8^P

  2. Kcruella says:

    Come on up north. Audrey and Dave have offered use of the vermont retreat as needed. Amazinf how nice she can be after a few cocktails. Of course there is nothing to freaking do there except golf and buy maple syrup.

  3. Cindermutha says:

    I hope they’re all wrong.

Image | WordPress Themes